THORPEX WORKSHOP

Date

Date
19 - 20 September 2012

Location

NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740

Workshop Goal

The workshop will bring together selected US

- researchers,
- operational meteorologists,
- members of the private sector, and
- agency program managers

representing expertise from the 3 main thrusts of the US THORPEX Science Plan

- processes and phenomena research,
- the science of prediction, and
- socioeconomic research and application

The goal of the workshop is for teams of participants to discuss and develop cross-cutting projects involving all 3 of the US THORPEX thrusts that could either be implemented with current resources or be submitted as proposals to funding agencies.

Workshop Format

- The first day of the workshop will include presentations on significant research priorities and emerging challenges related to the areas outlined in the US THORPEX Science Plan, as well as key tools for addressing these areas. Talks on meteorological science, operational forecasting, and social science will be intermixed, and ample time will be included for discussion.

- During the second day, we will continue the discussions in plenary and in breakout groups on several of the areas discussed during the previous day.  The focus of the breakout groups will be to formulate collaborative, cross-cutting projects.  The workshop will conclude with reports from each group and discussion of action items going forward.

Contacts

Edmund Chang (kmchang@notes.cc.sunysb.edu) Chair
Ryan Torn (rtorn@albany.edu) Workshop Subcommittee Chair
David Letson (dletson@rsmas.miami.edu) Workshop Subcommittee
Rebecca Morss (morss@ucar.edu) Workshop Subcommittee
Pam Johnson (johnsonp@ucar.edu) Logistics

Schedule & Presentations

Wednesday, September 19

 9:00  Introduction and Workshop Overview -  Ryan Torn and Edmund Chang

 9:15  Overview of THORPEX/WWRP/THORPEX  -  Zoltan Toth

 9:35  Ensemble Systems within the NOAA Operational Modeling Suite – Bill Lapenta

 9:55  Stony Brook research on medium range forecasting issues related to Rossby Wave Trains – Edmund Chang

10:15  Break

10:45  Economics of Hurricane Evacuation - David Letson

11:05  Behind the Climate Prediction Center's Extended and Long Range Outlooks – Mike Halpert, CPC

11:25  Discussion Period

12:00  Lunch

 1:30  Seasonal prediction barriers and challenges – Malaquias Mendez

 1:50  Risks, Decisions and Extreme Events: From Droughts to Flash Floods - Heather Lazrus

 2:10  Operational Implementation of THORPEX Research: Activities and Challenges - Wallace Hogsett

 2:30  Operational forecast support for DYNAMO:  The NCEP forecast systems - Augustine Vintzileos

 2:50  Break

 3:20  Catastrophe Economics: Modeling losses and accounting for the impacts of real-time warnings and
          mitigation - Jeff Czajkowski

 3:40  On cost and benefit of meteorological observations and their use in NWP systems - Lars-Peter Riishojgaard

 4:00  Group discussion of ideas presented from the day and ways forward.

 5:00  Dismiss

Thursday, September 20

  9:00  Research priorities from a trans-discipline perspective – Mel Shapiro

  9:20  Was THORPEX a Success and What's Next? - Dave Parsons

  9:40  Sensitivity analysis applied to Tropical cyclone intensity and extratropical transition - Ryan Torn

10:00  Multi-center, multi-model ensemble and its application – Yuejin Zhu

10:20  Future of THORPEX: why I am optimistic - Eugenia Kalnay

10:40  NSF's support for THORPEX-related science - Michael Morgan

11:00  Earth System Prediction Capability Inter-agency Program - Daniel Eleuterio

11:20  Group Discussion Period or More Talks

12:00  Lunch

 1:30  Continue Breakout groups

 3:00  Summary of group discussions, next steps

  4:30  End of meeting

 

ReadyTalk Recordings

Wednesday, September 19

Thursday, September 20

 

REGISTRATION

Email: Pam Johnson (johnsonp@ucar.edu) to register for the meeting.

Please provide the following contact information.

Name:
Institution:
Abbreviation (acronym) for your institution:
Phone:
Email:
Name to be used for Name Badge:

Will you be using our special shuttle service to go between the Holiday Inn and the NOAA Building?

REMOTE INFORMATION - The meeting will be available for remote attendance by ReadyTalk.

If you'd like to participate remotely, email: Pam Johnson (johnsonp@ucar.edu) to register.

Please provide the following contact information.

Specify REMOTE ATTENDANCE
Name:
Institution:
Abbreviation (acronym) for your institution:
Phone:
Email:
Country:

ReadyTalk Information: Audio Login: Toll-Free (US & Canada): 866.740.1260
Toll: 303.248.0285
Access Code: 4978197

Web Login: www.readytalk.com

Support: U.S. and Canada: 800.843.9166 or help@readytalk.com
Access Code: 4978197