NCAR News Release
Scientists to Probe Giant Storm Clusters across Midwest
BAMEX Media Day Set for May 19 near St. Louis, Missouri
BOULDERFrom the air and the ground, scientists this spring and summer will examine some of the world's largest thunderstorm complexes, behemoths that can spread hurricane-force wind and torrential rain for hundreds of miles across the U.S. Midwest. The study, scheduled from May 20 to July 6, should provide the clearest picture to date of how these storms wreak havoc and how forecasters can better predict their trails of damage.
The Bow Echo and MCV Experiment (BAMEX) is being organized by scientists
Christopher Davis and Morris Weisman at the National Center for Atmospheric
Research (NCAR) in Boulder. MCV stands for mesoscale convective vortex,
a low-pressure center associated with large clusters of storms. The $4-million
study is funded primarily by the National Science Foundation (NSF). Collaborators
include the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Naval
Research Laboratory, and a dozen colleges and universities (see full participant
Ron Przybylinski (NOAA National Weather Service, St. Louis) says that NWS forecasters in the region are eager to participate in BAMEX, which is the areas biggest thunderstorm-related study since the 1970s. "This is a once-in-a-lifetime experience. The more knowledge we have about the evolution of these systems, the better we can predict them."
A warm-season threat
Unlike many summer storms that develop and decay in an hour or two, mesoscale convective systemswhich can produce bow echoes and MCVsare often large, intense, and long-lasting. Typically, such a system develops in the warmth of the late afternoon and can last through the night. As it grows, a downdraft of high winds from rain-cooled air can push it into a bow-like configuration, seen as a bow echo on radar. Weak tornadoes may form along the bow or at either end, but the main threat is from straight-line winds that can gust to over 100 miles per hour.
While a typical tornadic thunderstorm might span 12 miles, the long-lived systems studied in BAMEX can stretch more than 90 miles in width and carve paths more than 500 miles long. Such storms can be terrifying, especially late at nightthe time when they are most likely across much of the Midwest. On the night of July 26, 1990, a bow echo barreled through Kansas City packing winds of 74 mph. The storm ripped off roofs, downed trees, and cut electric power to about 100,000 homes and businesses. Between January 1995 and July 2000, high winds from U.S. mesoscale convective systems caused over $1.4 billion in damage, 72 deaths, and over 1,000 injuries. BAMEX will study how these damaging winds unfold at night, when low-level air usually cools and stabilizes.
Once a mesoscale convective system dissipates, its vortex may persist as a focus for new storms the next day, making the vortex a potential forecasting tool. Several days of storms can be triggered as an MCV makes its way across the central and eastern United States. "This characteristic of an MCV is most interesting, for it implies a greater degree of predictability in storm initiation than previously thought possible," says Stephan Nelson, NSF program director for mesoscale meteorology.
Heavy rain is a particular threat with multiday MCV episodes. One MCV that formed in South Dakota in July 1977 ended up producing a catastrophic flood in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, that killed 78 people.
Casting a wide net
Although researchers have made progress in simulating mesoscale convective systems with computer models, there have been no large-scale experiments in recent years aimed at gathering data on these enormous complexes. According to Weisman, "We came to realize that we'd gone about as far as we could with the idealized simulations. We needed to get good data."
During BAMEX, three research aircraft will track developing bow echoes and MCVs as they move east across the Midwest from South Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas to the Ohio Valley. Two of these aircraft have Doppler radar on board. A third will release dropsondesinstrument packages that sample the atmosphere and transmit weather data as they gently descend via parachute.
Ground-based crews will intercept the storms in mobile weather laboratories, deploying weather balloons and using atmospheric profilers and other instruments to sample the storm environment. "It's going to be unique in that we'll be all over the place and never know where we'll be the next night," says NCAR's Ned Chamberlain, who is overseeing the balloon launches. "We'll be driving hundreds of miles in a day." To capture the storm systems' evolution at night, operations could extend as late as 2:00 a.m.
Forecasters from National Weather Service offices throughout the Midwest will take turns sharing their expertise in St. Louis, examining computer models and diagnosing storm behavior. The data gleaned from BAMEX should enable forecasters to improve their warnings for the high winds produced by bow echoes and the heavy rains triggered by MCVs.
The Joint Office for Science Support (JOSS)part of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, which operates NCARhas built a Web-based catalog to provide up-to-the-minute field data and serve as an archive for later use. JOSS is also teaming with NCAR and other participants to set up and staff the BAMEX operations center. The project will benefit greatly from the expertise of the NWS forecasters on hand, according to JOSS's James Moore. "We expect to take advantage of their local knowledge and appreciation for these strong mesoscale systems. They'll be a real asset.
Note to editors: A BAMEX media day will take place on Monday morning, May 19, at Mid-America Airport, about 20 miles east of St. Louis. A panel of key scientists will highlight the project activities at 9:00 a.m. Reporters will also be able to videotape part of a weather briefing, interview researchers, and tour the aircraft and some of the ground-based vehicles. To register for media day, contact David Hosansky (see above). The agenda will be posted at http://www.ucar.edu/communications/newsreleases/2002/bamexmedia.html.
Questions and answers:
When: May 20 to July 6
Who: University and government scientists (see list below)
Where: Across the Midwest. The BAMEX Operations Center will be located at MidAmerica Airport, just east of St. Louis, Missouri (see map). The weather may be sampled anywhere in the study area (red hatched border). Most of the storms to be studied are expected to occur from Kansas to Kentucky northward.
How will the BAMEX aircraft operate?
Three aircraft (see below), to be based at the BAMEX Operations Center, will fly within a 500-mile radius of St. Louis. Flight dates and locations will be determined by weather conditions. On operational days, the aircraft will fly as early as noon and as late as 6:00 a.m. Two P-3 aircraft will sample the storm using on-board Doppler radar, typically at heights of around 10,000 feet. The third aircraft, a Lear Jet, will deploy dropsondes in and around the storm from heights of 30,000 to 45,000 feet, away from populated areas.
How will the airborne instrument packages be operated?
Radiosondes (weather balloons) will be launched from vehicles positioned in and near regions of expected storm development. These lightweight packages will transmit data as they ascend, while dropsondes will send data as they descend via parachute from an airplane.
What other BAMEX activities will be visible from the road?
Several mobile units (see below) will canvass the study region, making periodic stops to take measurements. One vehicle will have a roof-mounted observing station that monitors weather while on the road. The presence of a BAMEX vehicle doesn't necessarily mean that a given location will get severe weather. All BAMEX vehicles will be clearly marked by institution (see list below).
More on BAMEX instruments
|Aircraft||Period of study||Typical altitude|
|NOAA P-3||May 20-July 6||10,000-18,000 ft.|
|NRL P-3||May 20-July 6||5,000 ft.|
|Lear Jet (Weather Modification, Inc.)||May 20-July 6||30,000-45,000 ft.|
Ground-based mobile instruments
UAH is also providing a roof-mounted mobile weather station. The NCAR Mobile GLASS (GPS/Loran Atmospheric Sounding System) will be deploying up to 275 radiosondes.
Additional data will be provided by standard NOAA observing networks.
Institutions participating in BAMEX
Agencies and laboratories
National Science Foundation (NSF)
National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), including the National Severe Storms
Laboratory (NSSL) and National Weather Service (NWS)
Naval Research Laboratory (NRL)
Colleges and universities
University of Alabama in Huntsville
University of California, Los Angeles
Colorado State University
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Iowa State University
University of Missouri
University at Albany, State University of New York
Pennsylvania State University
Saint Louis University
Texas A&M University
To receive UCAR and NCAR news releases by e-mail, fill out our
The National Center for Atmospheric Research and UCAR Office of Programs are operated by UCAR under the sponsorship of the National Science Foundation and other agencies. Opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of any of UCAR's sponsors. UCAR is an Equal Opportunity/Affirmative Action employer.
Prepared for the web by Carlye Calvin
Last revised: Monday, May 12, 2003 4:10 PM