Additional Asian Collaborations
Climate Affairs

Societies can better plan for
the impacts of hurricanes and other natural events. (Photo
by Carlye Calvin, UCAR
Digital Image Library.) |
Thanks to an NCAR researcher, educational institutions in several
countries are offering courses about the sensitive interplay among
climate, people, and the environment. These courses, which are designed
to prepare students for diverse roles in government and industry,
stress the importance of considering climate when societies make plans.
NCAR scientist Michael Glantz has organized a number of workshops and
training sessions to introduce educators to the climate affairs concept.
Climate affairs courses may emphasize such strategies as setting up
early warning systems so societies can brace for a coming disaster
or steering development away from floodplains and other high-
risk areas.
The University of Malaya in Malaysia, the University of Melbourne in
Australia, and the Chinese Meteorological Administration are working
with NCAR to develop climate affairs activities. China’s Xinjiang
University has used the climate affairs template to establish an International
Center for Desert Affairs. Several other institutions in East Asia,
as well as in the United States, Canada, Pakistan, and other nations,
are looking into the program.
Modeling power
Scientists rely on sophisticated computer models to predict changes
in Earth’s climate. But the models require so much computing
power that it may take weeks or even months to run a single experiment.
To tackle this problem, researchers from NCAR and the nonprofit Central
Research Institute of the Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI) in Japan
have re-engineered NCAR’s powerful Community
Climate System Model (CCSM). Not only is the model faster, but it also can perform
well on a variety of different types of supercomputers—including
the powerful Japanese
Earth Simulator.
By using more computer power,
the CCSM can produce especially detailed simulations. The image
on the left estimates the broad-scale movement of water around
South Africa’s Cape of Good Hope. The image on the right,
produced by the Earth Simulator, captures much more detail
and indicates how heat and salt can move in isolated structures
known as Agulhas rings. (Image courtesy Frank Bryan, NCAR.)
As a result, scientists can examine the longer-term implications
of rising greenhouse gas levels by simulating climate as far into
the future as 2450. They are also zooming in on finer-scale features
such as ocean eddies that are just a few tens of kilometers across.
These eddies transport energy and properties such as salinity in
ways that profoundly affect climate.
The next step will be to incorporate more detailed information about
topographic features such as mountain ranges and valleys to gain
insights into regional climate. For instance, instead of rounding
off the height of Washington’s Olympic Mountains to about 5,000
feet (1,500 meters), the model run on the Earth Simulator can more
closely incorporate the height of the mountain range, which reaches
nearly 8,000 feet (2,400 meters). This will enable researchers to
more correctly capture the amount of precipitation that falls as
snow as opposed to rain—thereby allowing them to estimate spring
and summer water supply from melting snow.
The result will be an unprecedented picture of Earth’s changing
climate. Says NCAR
scientist Frank Bryan, “We will
be able to capture regional
impacts of climate change that have previously been beyond
our capabilities.”

NCAR is working with experts
in Russia and China to create digital records of historic
weather observations. (Photo courtesy Climate Database Modernization
Program, National Climatic Data Center fo NOAA.) |
Collecting Historical Records
Historic ship logbooks, filled with daily readings of air temperatures,
winds, and other data, can provide important clues about global climate
trends. To bolster the collection of such weather observations
in its International Comprehensive
Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set, NCAR is
engaging in a pair of collaborative projects.
In Russia, NCAR and NOAA are working with the All-Russian Research
Institute of Hydrometeorological Information in Obninsk to create
digital records for millions of weather observations taken aboard
Russian research vessels. The readings, dating back to 1937, reveal
weather patterns in such remote regions as the Southern Ocean, fringing
Antarctica.
In China, the National Marine Data and Information Service of the
State Oceanic Administration in Tianjin is helping to digitize paper
records from U.S. merchant marine logbooks. The records date back
to the mid-19th century and cover much of the world’s
oceans. NCAR and NOAA are providing the Chinese with
other digital data, such as global surface temperatures, for their
own research.
Records in the collaborative International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere
Data Set are made available to researchers around the world.
Asian Collaborations:
Modeling Power
Air Safety in Taiwan
Climate Affairs
Collecting Historical Records
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